梅大高速路堤“5·1”塌方灾害链成因分析

    ANALYSIS OF THE CHAIN CAUSES OF THE COLLAPSE DISASTER DURING THE MAY 1ST HOLIDAY IN 2024 ON THE MEIZHOU-DAPU EXPRESSWAY EMBANKMENT IN THE GUANGDONG PROVINCE, CHINA

    • 摘要: 2024年5月1日1时57分许,广东梅州至大埔高速公路东延线K11+900~K11+950(营运桩号)茶阳路段发生塌方灾害,往东方向半幅路堤塌方导致23辆车坠落,撞击起火并燃烧,造成52人死亡,30人受伤。此次灾难是多种因素遭遇迭加耦合作用导致的小概率局地事件,表现为填土路堤边坡护脚墙漂移-护坡结构碎裂散落-土体奔流-路堤塌方-车辆坠落-群死群伤灾害链。长历时持续超常降雨渗流形成高位地下水作用是塌方灾害的主要原因,同时存在工程建设科学认知不够、工程防水排水能力不足、运营养护针对性不强和监测预警不到位等因素。“5·1”假日车流量剧增是灾情惨重的偶然因素。考虑护脚墙自重压力、上游面地下水渗透压力、底部摩擦力和地下水扬压力构成一个平衡系统,通过建立地下水压力与护脚墙的滑动平衡和倾倒平衡方程,得到护脚墙稳定的临界地下水位达到约100m高程时即进入危险状态。为了深化认识,考虑路堤基本条件、物质成分、地下水作用、监测预警和承灾体状况及灾害链等方面的国内外研究动态,探讨了公路路堤塌方灾害形成机理。最后,作者提出了路堤塌方灾害风险防范对策建议。

       

      Abstract: At approximately 1:57a.m. on May 1,2024, a landslide disaster occurred between K11+900 and K11+950 of the Chayang section on the eastern extension of the Meizhou-Dapu Expressway in Guangdong Province. The eastern half of the embankment collapsed, causing 23 vehicles to fall, collide, catch fire, and burn, resulting in 52 fatalities and 30 injuries. This disaster was a low-probability event triggered by the combined and coupled effects of multiple factors, manifesting as a chain of failures including retaining wall drift, slope protection structure disintegration, soil mass scouring, embankment collapse, vehicle falls, and mass casualties. The primary cause of the collapse was the development of a high groundwater level due to long-term, sustained abnormal rainfall and associated seepage. Contributing factors included insufficient scientific understanding in engineering design, inadequate waterproofing and drainage capacity, weak operational maintenance, and inadequate monitoring and early warning. The sharp increase in holiday traffic during the May Day period in 2024 served as an incidental factor that exacerbated the severity of the disaster. Considering a balanced system comprising the self-weight of the retaining wall, upstream groundwater infiltration pressure, basal friction, and groundwater uplift, sliding equilibrium and moment equilibrium equations were established. Analysis indicates that the retaining wall enters a critical state when the groundwater level reaches approximately 100m in elevation. To deepen understanding, domestic and international research trends were reviewed, covering embankment foundation conditions, material composition, groundwater effects, monitoring and early warning, vulnerability of exposed elements, and disaster chain dynamics. The formation mechanism of the highway embankment collapse disaster is discussed. Finally, countermeasures and suggestions are proposed to mitigate the risk of similar embankment collapse disasters.

       

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