崩塌滑坡泥石流灾害链分类研究

    RESEARCH ON CLASSIFICATION OF COLLAPSE, LANDSLIDE AND DEBRIS FLOW DISASTER CHAINS

    • 摘要: 为了科学预防应对跨越时空的灾害链锁效应,提高多灾种灾害链风险综合防御的科学性、针对性和效能性,作者基于自己多年研究体会和国内外研究案例,开展了崩塌滑坡泥石流灾害链分类研究。崩塌滑坡泥石流灾害链是指自然因素或人类活动更多的是两者迭加作用引发的冰雪岩土崩塌滑坡或泥石流灾害作为首环而接续产生的一系列灾害链式反应,后续环节表现为碎屑流、涌浪、洪流倾泻、堰塞湖淹没、溃决洪水冲击等不同组合,具有空间关联、时间接续、动力转换、灾情放大的基本特点。根据作者经验和国内外诸多典型案例的分析综合,作者提出了崩塌滑坡泥石流为首环的灾害链的基本认识、分类依据和包括5类21种的分类体系。第1类是自然崩塌滑坡接续灾害链,包括崩塌滑坡间歇级联、周期接续、多级顺直俯冲和多级折转冲击等4种灾害链。第2类是自然崩塌滑坡泥石流及其转化灾害链,包括崩塌滑坡导致激流倾泻、涌浪传播、涌浪-堰塞-淹没-溃决、转化为泥石流、沟道堵溃-泥石流淤堵河道、泥石流-淤堵-洪水和土体液化-泥土流灾害链等7种灾害链。第3类是工程土体滑坡泥石流及其转化灾害链,包括滑坡-滑坡、泥石流-堵河洪水、滑坡-泥石流和尾矿坝溃决-泥石流等4种灾害链。第4类是雪崩冰崩滑坡泥石流及其转化灾害链,包括雪崩-埋压-堵塞-洪水泥石流、冰崩岩崩-滑坡-涌浪-堰塞-溃决和冰崩滑坡-冰湖溃决-洪水泥石流等3种灾害链。第5类是火山或海域崩塌滑坡泥石流灾害链,包括火山滑坡-泥石流-堰塞、海岸崩塌滑坡-海啸和海底滑坡-泥石流等3种灾害链。本项研究试图为研究每一种类崩塌滑坡泥石流灾害链的静力学、动力学和运动学指明方向,为建立整体论与分割论相结合的地质灾害链预防应对工程技术体系和决策支持平台奠定理论基础。

       

      Abstract: In order to scientifically prevent and deal with the chain effects of natural disasters across time and space, and improve the scientific, targeted, and efficient comprehensive risk prevention of multi-disasters and disaster chains, the authors conducted a classification study on landslide and debris flow disaster chains based on their extensive research experience and analysis of domestic and international case studies. Collapse, landslide, and debris flow disaster chains refer to a series of disasters and chain reactions that are triggered by natural factors or human activities, or both, with the initial disaster being the collapse, landslide, or debris flow of ice, snow, rock, and soil. The subsequent disasters are different combinations of debris flow, surge, torrential flood, dammed lake inundation, and flood impact caused by dam break, and have the basic characteristics of spatial correlation, time continuity, power conversion, and disaster amplification. Based on the authors' experience and comprehensive analysis of many typical cases at home and abroad, a classification system is proposed that consists of the basic understanding, classification basis, and classification system including 5 categories and 21 kinds of disaster chains resulting from landslides and debris flows. The first category is the disaster chains in succession of natural soil or rockfall and landslide, including the intermittent cascade of soil or rockfall and landslide, periodic succession, multilevel straight subduction, and multilevel turning impact. The second category is natural landslide debris flow and its transformation disaster chains, including landslide resulting in surge wave propagation, surge wave-weir-inundation-outburst, transformation into debris flow, and gully blockage-debris flow blockage-flood. The third category is the engineering soil landslide and debris flow and its transformation disaster chains, including landslide-landslide, debris flow-river blocking flood, landslide-debris flow, and tailings dam break-debris flow. The fourth category is avalanche, ice slide, debris flow, and its transformation disaster chains, including avalanche-buried pressure-roadblock-torrent or debris flow, ice slide-rock slide-surge wave-barrier-outburst, and ice slide-glacial lake outburst-torrent or debris flow. The fifth category is disaster chains from landslides and debris flows in volcanic or marine environments, including volcanic landslides-debris flow-locking river, and coastal landslides-tsunami and seabed landslide-debris flow(turbidity current). This study aims to indicate the direction for research on statics, dynamics, and kinematics of every type of landslide, debris flow, and mudslide disaster chain, and lay a theoretical foundation for establishing an engineering technical system and decision support platform for geological disaster chain prevention and response that combines holism and reductionism.

       

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