地表潜在断错位移的概率评价方法

冉洪流 周本刚

冉洪流, 周本刚. 2004: 地表潜在断错位移的概率评价方法. 工程地质学报, 12(1): 93-97.
引用本文: 冉洪流, 周本刚. 2004: 地表潜在断错位移的概率评价方法. 工程地质学报, 12(1): 93-97.
RAN Hongliu, ZHOU Bengang. 2004: PROBABILITISTIC ASSESSMENT OF POTENTIAL GROUND OFFSET ALONG STRIKE-SLIP ENGINEERING ACTIVE FAULT. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 12(1): 93-97.
Citation: RAN Hongliu, ZHOU Bengang. 2004: PROBABILITISTIC ASSESSMENT OF POTENTIAL GROUND OFFSET ALONG STRIKE-SLIP ENGINEERING ACTIVE FAULT. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 12(1): 93-97.

地表潜在断错位移的概率评价方法

基金项目: 

地震科学联合基金(编号码01113)

详细信息
    作者简介:

    冉洪流(1965-),男,地球物理专业.Email:ranhl@tom.com

  • 中图分类号: P642

PROBABILITISTIC ASSESSMENT OF POTENTIAL GROUND OFFSET ALONG STRIKE-SLIP ENGINEERING ACTIVE FAULT

  • 摘要: 目前跨活动断层的线状工程的抗断设防一般是以断层位错确定性评价为基础 ,考虑的是最大位错量 ,与抗御灾害的风险设计的实际要求不相符。本文将走滑断层上最大位错点的位置分布及最大位错点两侧的位错展布 ,与可产生地表断错位移的强震复发模型联合 ,构造出评估走滑活动断层各部位地表潜在断错位移的概率性评价方法。最后 ,以鲜水河走滑断裂中带西北部的松林口 -乾宁段为例 ,对其未来 10 0年潜在断错位移的危险性做出定量评估 ,可给出断层段上各点不同超越概率水平下的潜在位移。这一研究结果 ,可为跨断裂的线形工程进行抗御地表潜在断错位移的风险设计提供科学依据.
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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2003-09-08
  • 修回日期:  2003-09-28
  • 刊出日期:  2004-01-22

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