Volume 15 Issue 5
Apr.  2011
Turn off MathJax
Article Contents
LI Xiuzhen, KONG Jiming, WANG Chenghua. 2007: APPLICATION OF CENTER APPROACH GREY GM (1,1) MODEL TO PREDICTION OF LANDSLIDE DEFORMATION WITH A CASE STUDY. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 15(5): 673-676.
Citation: LI Xiuzhen, KONG Jiming, WANG Chenghua. 2007: APPLICATION OF CENTER APPROACH GREY GM (1,1) MODEL TO PREDICTION OF LANDSLIDE DEFORMATION WITH A CASE STUDY. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 15(5): 673-676.

APPLICATION OF CENTER APPROACH GREY GM (1,1) MODEL TO PREDICTION OF LANDSLIDE DEFORMATION WITH A CASE STUDY

Funds:

  • Received Date: 2007-03-28
  • Rev Recd Date: 2007-08-20
  • Publish Date: 2007-09-29
  • Huanglongxicun landslide is located in Tianshui city of Gansu province. It belongs to loess landslide with high potential energy. With the volume capacity of 3.9105m3, its substratum is granodiorite. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of grey GM(1,1) model, center approach grey GM (1,1) model is used in the deformation prediction of Huanglongxicun landslide. It is indicated that the predicting values of center approach GM (1,1) model are well agreed with monitoring values for the landslide, and have much higher prediction accuracy than that of traditional grey GM(1,1) model because error sum of squares and error percent for center approach GM (1,1) model is lower than that of traditional grey GM(1,1) model. Moreover, the center approach GM (1,1) model can be improved by adjusting the value of the parameter m in the model. When m is equal to 6, prediction accuracy for center approach GM (1,1) model is over 5.34% than that of traditional grey GM(1,1) model.
  • loading
  • [1]  邓聚龙.灰色系统基本方法
    [M].武汉:华中理工大学出版社,1987.Deng Julong.Basic method of grey sustem.W uhan:Huazhong University of Technology p ress,1987.

    [2]  靳晓光,李晓红.边坡变形模拟预测的普适灰色模型
    [J].中国地质灾害与防治学报,2001,12(2):51~55.J in Xiaoguang,L i Xiaohong.General adequate grey model of modeling forecasting of slope deformation.The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control,2001,12(2):51~55.

    [3]  刘绿柳,金爱善,卞建民.带权GM(0,h)模型在地下水开采地面沉降研究中的应用
    [J].世界地质,2000,19(1):57~60.L iu Luliu,J in A ishan,B ian J ianm in.The app lication of grey weight-model in ground water exp loitation and land subsidence.World geology,2000,19(1):57~60.

    [4]  史玉峰,靳奉祥,马健.参数修正法改进灰色预测模型及其在岩土工程变形信息分析中的应用
    [J].有色金属,2002,54(3):25~26.Shi Yufeng,J in Fengxiang,Ma J ian.Imp rovement of grey model by parameters varying method and its app lication for analyzing deformation in geotechnical engineering.Nonferrous Metals,2002,54(3):25~26.

    [5]  周宁,傅鹤林,郭建峰等.引入修正因子的非等时距时变参数灰色预测模型及应用
    [J].岩土工程学报,2006,28(6):756~760.Zhou N ing,Fu Helin,Guo J ianfeng et a.lCorrecting factor of graywith p rediction model unequal interval time-varying parameters.Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering,2006,28(6):756~760.

    [6]  邱淑芳,周其华,王泽文.改进的GM(1,1)模型及其在地下水环境预测中的应用
    [J].东华理工学院学报,2006,29(2):176~180.Q iu Shufang,Zhou Q ihua,W ang Zewen.Imp rovement of GM(1,1)model and its app lication on ground water environments p rediction.Journal of East China institute of technology,2006,29(2):176~180.

    [7]  李晓红,靳晓光,亢会明等.GM(1,1)优化模型在滑坡预测预报中的应用
    [J].山地学报,2001,19(3):265~269.L i Xiaohong,J in Xiaoguang,Kang Huim ing et al.App lication of GM(1,1)majorized model to simulation forecast of Landslide.Journal of mountain science,2001,19(3):265~269.

    [8]  刘美英,谢正文.改进GM(1,1)模型在环境噪声预测中的应用
    [J].噪声与振动控制,2006,(2):46~48.L iu Meiying,Xie Zhengwen.App lication of imp roved GM(1,1)model for noise p rediction.Noise and vibration control,2006,(2):46~48.

    [9]  宋中民,同小军,肖新平.中心逼近式灰色GM(1,1)模型
    [J].系统工程理论与实践,2001,(5):110~113.Song Zhongm in,Tong Xiaojun,Xiao Xinp ing.Center app roach grey GM(1,1)mode.lSystem s Engineering Theory&Practice,2001,(5):110~113.

    [10]  王菊翠,曹明明,仵彦卿.预测陕西关中地区需水量的改进GM(1,1)模型
    [J].干旱区地理,2006,29(1):35~41.W ang Jucui,Cao M ingm ing,W u Yanqing.Imp roving model to p redict demand water in Guanzhong area of Shanx.iA rid Land Geography,2006,29(1):35~41.

    [11]  李天斌,陈明东,王兰生.滑坡实时跟踪预报
    [M].成都:成都科技大学出版社,1999.L I Tianbin,Chen M ingdong,W ang Lansheng.Landslide real-time tracking and p rediction.Chengdu:Chengdu University of Science and Technology Press,1999.

    [12]  袁勇,许强,郭科.应用带变异的否定选择算法寻找滑坡突变点
    [J].工程地质学报,2005,13(4):447~450.Yuan Yong,Xu Q iang,et a.l.Search for the jump spot of a landslide using the nsmutation algorithm.Jouranl of Engineering Geology,2005,13(4):447~450.

  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索
    Article views (3240) PDF downloads(967) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint