袁颖, 王晨晖, 周爱红. 2016: 泥石流危险性评价的支持向量机模型相关问题研究. 工程地质学报, 24(s1): 841-847. DOI: 10.13544/j.cnki.jeg.2016.s1.121
    引用本文: 袁颖, 王晨晖, 周爱红. 2016: 泥石流危险性评价的支持向量机模型相关问题研究. 工程地质学报, 24(s1): 841-847. DOI: 10.13544/j.cnki.jeg.2016.s1.121
    YUAN Ying, WANG Chenhui, ZHOU Aihong. 2016: RELATED ISSUES OF SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE MODEL FOR DEBRIS FLOW HAZARD ASSESSMENT. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 24(s1): 841-847. DOI: 10.13544/j.cnki.jeg.2016.s1.121
    Citation: YUAN Ying, WANG Chenhui, ZHOU Aihong. 2016: RELATED ISSUES OF SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE MODEL FOR DEBRIS FLOW HAZARD ASSESSMENT. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 24(s1): 841-847. DOI: 10.13544/j.cnki.jeg.2016.s1.121

    泥石流危险性评价的支持向量机模型相关问题研究

    RELATED ISSUES OF SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE MODEL FOR DEBRIS FLOW HAZARD ASSESSMENT

    • 摘要: 泥石流是一种危害性极大的山区自然灾害,其危险性评价的意义在防灾减灾预案中尤为重要。论文结合近十年来支持向量机方法在泥石流危险性评价中的应用情况,重点探讨泥石流不同评价指标的选取、影响支持向量机性能的参数确定、泥石流数据的不均衡性等对评价结果的影响以及泥石流评价模型的可推广性问题。首先,引入粗糙集理论,对选定的泥石流评价指标进行属性约简,筛选出影响泥石流评价结果的核心指标;其次,比较使用较广泛的网格搜索算法、遗传算法和粒子群优化算法3种方法确定的支持向量机的惩罚指标和核函数参数对评价效果的影响;最后,通过对泥石流单沟的不同评价指标和危险等级的实测数据进行训练和测试,建立泥石流危险性评价的改进支持向量机模型,研究泥石流数据的不均衡性对危险性评价结果的影响,并将建立的模型应用于不同区域的泥石流危险性评价中进行推广性验证。研究结果表明支持向量机模型能够应用于泥石流危险度评价中,但其评价精度的高低、泛化能力的强弱与评价指标的选择、支持向量机性能参数的确定、泥石流数据的均衡性紧密相关,在实际应用中应该加强与支持向量机模型相关问题的研究,才能建立具有较好适用性的泥石流危险性评价模型。

       

      Abstract: Debris flow is a natural disaster in mountainous areas with great damage, whose hazard assessment has a significant meaning in disaster prevention and reduction. Combining with the applications of support vector machine method in debris flow hazard assessment in the past ten years, this paper focuses on the selection of different evaluation indexes for debris flow, the determination of parameters that influences performance for support vector machine, the influence of unbalanced debris flow data on evaluation results and the generalization of debris flow evaluation model. First of all, introducing the theory of rough set for attribute reduction of debris flow evaluation indexes, then filtering the core indexes which influence the evaluation results of debris flow; secondly, comparing the influences of evaluation results caused by penalty factors and kernel function parameters of support vector machine determined by grid search algorithm, genetic algorithm and particle swarm algorithm respectively; finally, by training and testing the measured data of different evaluation indexes and risk grades for single debris flow ditches, establishing the improved support vector machine model of debris flow hazard assessment, making research on the influence of hazard evaluation results caused by the disequilibrium of debris flow data, and applying the established model in different regions for debris flow hazard assessment to make generalization verification. The results show that the SVM model can be used in the debris flow hazard assessment, but the accuracy of evaluation and the strength of generalization ability are closely related to the selection of evaluation index, the determination of performance parameters for SVM and the equilibrium of debris flow data, only the research of related issues for support vector machine model are strengthened in practical application, can we establish the model of debris flow hazard assessment with better applicability.

       

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