运用孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论探讨大同阳高张北地区未来地震活动性

DISCUSSION ON THE FUTURE SEISMICITY IN DATONGYANGGAOZHANGBEI AREA USING THE BRITTLE FAILURE THEORY OF MULTIPLE LOCKED PATCHES ALONG A SEISMOGENIC FAULT

摘要:  基于笔者最近建立的孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论,本文针对大同阳高张北地区未来大地震发生的可能性进行了预测分析,结果表明该地区有可能发生65级以上的破坏性地震。 

Abstract: Based on the the brittle failure theory of multiple locked patches along a seismogenic fault presented recently by us,the possibility of that the strong earthquake will occur in DatongYanggaoZhangbei area is analysed. It is shown that a destructive earthquake with a magnitude of more than 65 in this area will possibly occur.