陈雨, 李晓. 2010: 盐岩储库区地面沉降预测与控制研究现状与展望. 工程地质学报, 18(2): 252.
    引用本文: 陈雨, 李晓. 2010: 盐岩储库区地面沉降预测与控制研究现状与展望. 工程地质学报, 18(2): 252.
    CHEN Yu, LI Xiao. 2010: CURRENT STATUS AND FUTURE TRENDS OF STUDIES ON PREDICTION AND CONTROL OF SUBSIDENCE IN ROCK SALT CAVERNS. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 18(2): 252.
    Citation: CHEN Yu, LI Xiao. 2010: CURRENT STATUS AND FUTURE TRENDS OF STUDIES ON PREDICTION AND CONTROL OF SUBSIDENCE IN ROCK SALT CAVERNS. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 18(2): 252.

    盐岩储库区地面沉降预测与控制研究现状与展望

    CURRENT STATUS AND FUTURE TRENDS OF STUDIES ON PREDICTION AND CONTROL OF SUBSIDENCE IN ROCK SALT CAVERNS

    • 摘要: 利用盐岩地层建设地下油气储库群已成为各国发展能源储备的重要方向,然而关于储库区地面沉降的研究至今仍处于探索阶段。由于地面沉降所造成的重大事故屡见不鲜,因此有必要集中力量研究盐岩库区地面沉降问题,为我国盐岩储库群的建设提供可靠的理论依据。本文主要从以下3个方面总结了近几十年来国内外学者在盐岩储库区地面沉降预测方面所做出的努力与成绩: (1)现场监测法国、德国、美国先后建立了现场监测网络,获得了大量的长期监测数据; (2)理论计算我国学者于20世纪90年代末将随机介质理论引入到盐矿水溶开采地面沉降预测中,从而为储库区地面沉降预测提供了新的理论基础; (3)数值模拟欧洲学者利用FLAC2D 程序对盐岩储库区的地面稳定性进行了数值模拟,而我国学者则利用在新概率积分法的基础上建立起的预测模型成功进行了沉降预测模拟。此外,为了有效地控制库区地面变形,预留矿柱式水溶开采法在国外众多盐岩地下储库群建设中得以广泛应用。本文最后提出在后续研究中将重点着眼于地表变形随时间的发展过程,并对现有理论模型进行适当的修正以及利用现场实测数据进一步完善预测所需参数的选取方法,从而使预测结果更为准确可靠。

       

      Abstract: The construction of the underground petroleum and gas storage caverns in rock salt has become the direction of the energy reserve development. However,the study on the subsidence in the region of underground storage caverns is still in the state of exploration. Disasters induced by the subsidence happened from time to time. So it is necessary to investigate the subsidence in the region of underground storage caverns in rock salt.The investigation will provide reliable principles for the design and construction. This paper reports the authors literature reviews on the processes and the results in forecast of the subsidence in the region of underground storage caverns obtained by scholars in China and aboard. Three aspects are summarized as follows: 1)insitu monitoring: France,German,and American have established the insitu monitoring net successively,and got a large number of monitoring data; 2)theoretical calculation: the scholars in China introduced the random medium theory to the forecast of subsidence induced by the water mining in rock salt in the late 20th century,which provided a new theoretic basis for the forecast of the subsidence in the region of underground storages; 3)numerical simulation: the scholars in Europe made use of FLAC2D program to simulate the ground stability in the region of the storages in rock salt,and the scholar in China made use of the forecasting model established on the basis of new probability integral 3D model to simulate the subsidence successfully. Besides,in order to control the ground deformation in the region of storages effectively,the pillar supported mining methods have been applied extensively in the construction of underground storages in rock salt in some foreign countries. At last,this paper puts forward that further studies will focuses on the time dependent ground deformation,revise the theoretic model properly,and improve the parameter choosing method with considering the in situ monitoring data. Consequently,it is expected to get more reliable and veracious forecasting result.

       

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