伍宇明, 兰恒星, 高星, 李郎平. 2014: 台风暴雨型滑坡降雨阈值曲线研究以福建地区为例. 工程地质学报, 22(2): 255-262.
    引用本文: 伍宇明, 兰恒星, 高星, 李郎平. 2014: 台风暴雨型滑坡降雨阈值曲线研究以福建地区为例. 工程地质学报, 22(2): 255-262.
    WU Yuming, LAN Hengxing, GAO Xing, LI Langping. 2014: RAINFALL THRESHOLD OF STORM-INDUCED LANDSLIDES IN TYPHOON AREAS:A CASE STUDY OF FUJIAN PROVINCE. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 22(2): 255-262.
    Citation: WU Yuming, LAN Hengxing, GAO Xing, LI Langping. 2014: RAINFALL THRESHOLD OF STORM-INDUCED LANDSLIDES IN TYPHOON AREAS:A CASE STUDY OF FUJIAN PROVINCE. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 22(2): 255-262.

    台风暴雨型滑坡降雨阈值曲线研究以福建地区为例

    RAINFALL THRESHOLD OF STORM-INDUCED LANDSLIDES IN TYPHOON AREAS:A CASE STUDY OF FUJIAN PROVINCE

    • 摘要: 台风暴雨型滑坡具有群发性、规模小、爆发性强的特点,容易造成严重的人员伤亡和巨大的财产损失。本文应用极值理论分析,以极端降雨重现期的极大值作为标准并计算有效的降雨区间,通过统计分析,确定触发暴雨型滑坡的降雨阈值曲线。应用模型对福建地区台风暴雨型滑坡进行了分析,福建省3个灾害高发区为:南平三明地区、泉州地区和宁德地区。南平三明地区降雨阈值较高,但发生的滑坡数量较多,主要以3d的降雨为主;泉州地区小于3d的连续降雨和大于8d的连续降雨是触发该地滑坡的主要降雨区间;宁德地区对短期降雨较为敏感,滑坡主要由1d的降雨引起。比较分析研究表明,台风地区触发滑坡的降雨阈值要高于非台风地区。降雨型滑坡阈值主要受气候,地质和土壤厚度影响,气候因素为主控因素。

       

      Abstract: Strong rainstorm can induce a burst of large number of small scale landslides. In typhoon areas, storm-induced landslides pose a high risk to the human lives and properties. It is therefore of great significance to study the occurrence of the landslides in typhoon areas. In this study, the critical duration of rainfall is estimated according to the reactivation period of extreme rainfall calculated using the Extreme Value Theory(EVT).Then, a threshold curve of the storm-induced landslides in typhoon areas is obtained based on a statistical approach. A typical typhoon region, the Fujian Province in the southeast China, is taken as a study area. Three typical regions with high occurrence of landslides are detected in the Fujian Province: the Nanping-Sanming region, the Quanzhou region and the Ningde region. It is found that, although the rainfall threshold of the Nanping-Sanming region is relatively higher, landslides happen more frequently and are mainly caused by continuous rainfall in three days. The Quanzhou region is susceptible to the influence of both short-term(3 days) and long-term(8 days) continuous heavy rainfall. The landslides in the Ningde Region are mainly caused by continuous rainfall in one day. This comparative study in different areas shows that the threshold of rainfall-induced landslide is affected by complex factors dominated with climate, geological environment and soil depth. The threshold of rainfall-induced landslide in typhoon areas is higher than that in non-typhoon areas, since the climate is the primary controlling factor of the threshold of rainfall-induced landslides.

       

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