张中琼, 陈剑平, 王清. 2008: 铁岭组中风化柱状叠层石灰岩强度确定概率方法. 工程地质学报, 16(5): 667-671.
    引用本文: 张中琼, 陈剑平, 王清. 2008: 铁岭组中风化柱状叠层石灰岩强度确定概率方法. 工程地质学报, 16(5): 667-671.
    ZHANG Zhongqiong, CHEN Jianping, WANG Qing. 2008: PROBABILITYMETHOD FOR DETERM INATION OF POINT LOAD TEST STRENGTH OF MEDIUM WEATHERED COLUMNAR STROMATOLITES LIMESTONE AT XIAOYUSHANMINE. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 16(5): 667-671.
    Citation: ZHANG Zhongqiong, CHEN Jianping, WANG Qing. 2008: PROBABILITYMETHOD FOR DETERM INATION OF POINT LOAD TEST STRENGTH OF MEDIUM WEATHERED COLUMNAR STROMATOLITES LIMESTONE AT XIAOYUSHANMINE. JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING GEOLOGY, 16(5): 667-671.

    铁岭组中风化柱状叠层石灰岩强度确定概率方法

    PROBABILITYMETHOD FOR DETERM INATION OF POINT LOAD TEST STRENGTH OF MEDIUM WEATHERED COLUMNAR STROMATOLITES LIMESTONE AT XIAOYUSHANMINE

    • 摘要: 研究区大量分布中风化柱状叠层石灰岩, 岩石强度具有很强的变异性和区域性, 而岩石强度是影响边坡稳定的重要因素。要进行边坡稳定性评价, 就需要对研究区现场试验数据作为随机变量进行概率统计分析, 获取可靠的岩石强度指标。本文通过对研究区内中风化柱状叠层石灰岩( t23 ) 现场点荷载实验数据进行统计分析, 利用x2 检验进行拟和, 得到岩石强度的概率密度函数和概率分布形式, 抗压强度和抗拉强度均服从对数正态分布。在此基础上, 结合相近岩性岩石强度的拟和结果, 建立区内中风化柱状叠层石灰岩点荷载试验强度概率分布函数。运用Bayes估计推断区域内中风化柱状叠层石灰岩岩石点荷载强度, 得到岩石抗压强度预测值为72. 42 MPa, 抗拉强度预测值为2. 29 MPa, 相对误差较小, 样本信任度达到70%以上。该方法对于岩石强度估计是有效的, 由该方法所得到的估计值对研究区边坡稳定性评价以及后期边坡治理都具有重要的实践意义。

       

      Abstract: Thew eathered co lumnar strom atolites are w ide ly d istributed in the study area and have a strong rock streng th and the reg ional variability. The rock strength is the important factor for slope stability. E va luation of slope stability needs to analyze the field test data as stochastic variab le to obtain the reliable ind icators of rock strength. Th is paper bases on the statistica l analysis of the po int load test data of medium w eathered co lumnar stromato lites limestone in study area and uses the fitt ing of probab ility density function w ith the x 2 check m ethod. It draw s the conc lusion that probab ility d istribut ion fo rm of the rock streng th. The compressive strength and tensile strength are subject to the lognormal d istribution. This result is further combined w ith the fitt ing results o f the streng th o f sim ilar rock lithology. A a resu l,t th is paper estab lishes the probab ility d istribution function for po int load test strength o f medium w eathered co lumnar strom ato lites limestone in the study area. The limestone po int load strength w as de duced w ith Bayes estimat ion. The predict ive value of rock strength is obtained. The re lative error is less and sam pling confidence is over 70%. The tensile streng th w as 2. 29MPa, the compressive strength w as 72. 42MPa. The method for the rock streng th w as est imated to be effective, the va lues obtained w ith the method had the important practical significance to eva luate slope stab ility andmanage the slope.

       

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